Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006375 0.007137 0.007966 0.008938 0.010048 0.011279 0.012751
2025-02-16 0.005184 0.006231 0.007468 0.009044 0.011013 0.013407 0.016565
2025-02-23 0.004428 0.005572 0.006996 0.008916 0.011462 0.014761 0.019418
2025-03-02 0.003991 0.005212 0.006800 0.009041 0.012169 0.016445 0.022850
2025-03-09 0.003591 0.004837 0.006516 0.008981 0.012573 0.017717 0.025830
2025-03-16 0.003172 0.004383 0.006064 0.008615 0.012469 0.018214 0.027689
2025-03-23 0.002917 0.004130 0.005861 0.008570 0.012812 0.019381 0.030704
2025-03-30 0.002815 0.004082 0.005944 0.008952 0.013833 0.021700 0.035897
2025-04-06 0.002563 0.003787 0.005627 0.008674 0.013764 0.022234 0.038102
2025-04-13 0.002353 0.003539 0.005358 0.008443 0.013736 0.022820 0.040456
2025-04-20 0.002215 0.003391 0.005232 0.008430 0.014070 0.024055 0.044173
2025-04-27 0.002152 0.003354 0.005280 0.008709 0.014936 0.026333 0.050232
2025-05-04 0.002015 0.003193 0.005118 0.008626 0.015168 0.027520 0.054407
2025-05-11 0.001917 0.003092 0.005050 0.008704 0.015713 0.029385 0.060356
2025-05-18 0.001797 0.002941 0.004882 0.008582 0.015857 0.030462 0.064747
2025-05-25 0.001726 0.002869 0.004848 0.008702 0.016484 0.032605 0.071948
2025-06-01 0.001635 0.002755 0.004727 0.008645 0.016744 0.034000 0.077619
2025-06-08 0.001510 0.002573 0.004468 0.008294 0.016356 0.033927 0.079638
2025-06-15 0.001437 0.002480 0.004369 0.008251 0.016616 0.035339 0.085726
2025-06-22 0.001422 0.002492 0.004467 0.008617 0.017804 0.039052 0.098700
2025-06-29 0.001331 0.002355 0.004269 0.008351 0.017551 0.039298 0.102103
2025-07-06 0.001251 0.002237 0.004099 0.008129 0.017376 0.039715 0.106089
2025-07-13 0.001201 0.002171 0.004030 0.008117 0.017689 0.041395 0.114188